Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 46.8% vs Seguin 55.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 76.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 53.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 66.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Copp
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Copp
Seguin
Last 5: Copp 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (424)
55.9% (789)
-8.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.1% (48)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
44.4% (9)
-8.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Copp is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Copp shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Copp
Seguin
Home
46.2% (251)
57.3% (382)
Away
46.0% (235)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Copp
Seguin
P1
53.1%
55.1%
P2
41.8%
57.5%
P3
43.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |