Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lundell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Lundell 45.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.0%
Defensive zone
Lundell 58.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 57.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Cirelli
Lundell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
Lundell
Last 5: Cirelli 2-3 Lundell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Lundell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
0
3
Cirelli
Lundell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lundell
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
45.8% (637)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
58.3% (24)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
32.2% (87)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundell shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lundell
Home
46.7% (478)
46.3% (434)
Away
46.4% (470)
42.4% (314)
By Period
Cirelli
Lundell
P1
46.6%
46.6%
P2
48.6%
39.9%
P3
44.3%
47.1%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |