Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Lundell 51.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 58.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Cirelli
Lundell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cirelli
Lundell
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Lundell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Lundell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
4
Cirelli
Lundell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Lundell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lundell
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
52.7% (786)
-2.3%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
52.6% (152)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
47.3% (182)
-10.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundell shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lundell
Home
54.2% (395)
51.0% (574)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.6% (546)
By Period
Cirelli
Lundell
P1
50.8%
52.9%
P2
50.0%
55.8%
P3
46.6%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |