Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Lundell 47.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 81.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 68.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Cirelli
Lundell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cirelli
Lundell
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Lundell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lundell
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
44.8% (491)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
60.0% (40)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
52.1% (48)
-5.6%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundell shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lundell
Home
52.4% (462)
45.5% (319)
Away
50.1% (369)
47.7% (260)
By Period
Cirelli
Lundell
P1
50.7%
50.8%
P2
49.6%
46.5%
P3
53.3%
41.7%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |