Anthony Cirelli vs Auston Matthews
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Matthews 53.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 84.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 62.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 69.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Cirelli
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Cirelli
Matthews
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
4
Cirelli
Matthews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
0
Cirelli
Matthews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
53.4% (1,169)
-2.5%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
65.8% (76)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
41.9% (74)
+2.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Matthews
Home
50.6% (494)
56.5% (703)
Away
47.6% (441)
50.0% (616)
By Period
Cirelli
Matthews
P1
52.3%
52.1%
P2
45.4%
54.0%
P3
49.5%
54.0%
OT
62.5%
57.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |