Anthony Cirelli vs Auston Matthews
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Matthews 56.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 74.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 74.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 68.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Cirelli
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
23
(41 meetings)
18
23
Cirelli
Matthews
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
7
5
Cirelli
Matthews
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
15
Cirelli
Matthews
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
3
Cirelli
Matthews
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
58.3% (943)
-8.4%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
55.7% (61)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
50.7% (219)
-2.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Matthews
Home
46.7% (649)
59.1% (528)
Away
53.5% (643)
55.1% (695)
By Period
Cirelli
Matthews
P1
50.1%
56.2%
P2
51.1%
58.1%
P3
48.5%
56.4%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |