Anthony Cirelli vs Auston Matthews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Matthews 53.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 66-51 in 117 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 72.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 77.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 71.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Cirelli
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
66
(117 meetings)
51
66
Cirelli
Matthews
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
12
22
Cirelli
Matthews
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
15
26
Cirelli
Matthews
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
24
18
Cirelli
Matthews
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
54.0% (9,298)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
55.5% (530)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
49.8% (482)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Matthews
Home
49.6% (3,763)
56.3% (5,065)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.5% (5,245)
By Period
Cirelli
Matthews
P1
49.9%
55.5%
P2
48.8%
53.3%
P3
49.2%
52.8%
OT
51.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |