Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Horvat 56.6% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 82.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 74.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 79.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Cirelli
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Cirelli
Horvat
Last 10: Cirelli 1-9 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
3
Cirelli
Horvat
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Horvat
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
5
Cirelli
Horvat
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
55.6% (1,066)
-9.2%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
65.4% (289)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
49.2% (120)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Horvat
Home
46.7% (478)
58.8% (724)
Away
46.4% (470)
55.3% (751)
By Period
Cirelli
Horvat
P1
46.6%
57.0%
P2
48.6%
57.5%
P3
44.3%
57.0%
OT
44.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |