Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Horvat 53.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 52.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 75.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 66.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Cirelli
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Horvat
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Cirelli
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
2
Cirelli
Horvat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
53.5% (1,071)
-2.6%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
56.3% (272)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
51.3% (76)
-7.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Horvat
Home
50.6% (494)
54.2% (714)
Away
47.6% (441)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Cirelli
Horvat
P1
52.3%
53.5%
P2
45.4%
56.3%
P3
49.5%
53.5%
OT
62.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |