Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Horvat 54.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 50-31 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 87.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 77.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 78.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Cirelli
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
50
(81 meetings)
31
50
Cirelli
Horvat
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
28
Cirelli
Horvat
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
16
9
Cirelli
Horvat
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
13
Cirelli
Horvat
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
53.9% (12,606)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
61.0% (2,699)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
47.1% (1,494)
-3.3%
On even strength, Horvat has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Horvat
Home
49.6% (3,763)
56.0% (8,355)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Cirelli
Horvat
P1
49.9%
54.1%
P2
48.8%
54.4%
P3
49.2%
55.0%
OT
51.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |