Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Tkachuk 47.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 88.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Last 5: Cirelli 1-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
3
Cirelli
Tkachuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Tkachuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Cirelli
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
46.9% (226)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
42.0% (81)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
80.0% (5)
-38.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Tkachuk is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Home
45.4% (469)
47.6% (168)
Away
49.7% (445)
44.4% (144)
By Period
Cirelli
Tkachuk
P1
46.3%
49.1%
P2
46.3%
42.9%
P3
49.6%
46.5%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |