Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Tkachuk 48.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 89.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Last 5: Cirelli 2-3 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
3
Cirelli
Tkachuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
47.5% (421)
+4.6%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
50.3% (336)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
12.5% (8)
+34.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Home
52.4% (462)
49.9% (389)
Away
50.1% (369)
46.8% (376)
By Period
Cirelli
Tkachuk
P1
50.7%
44.4%
P2
49.6%
51.8%
P3
53.3%
47.8%
OT
61.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |