Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Tkachuk 52.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 53.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 94.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 67.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
4
Cirelli
Tkachuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
47.9% (192)
+3.0%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
57.8% (187)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
0.0% (1)
+44.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Home
50.6% (494)
56.0% (175)
Away
47.6% (441)
49.8% (205)
By Period
Cirelli
Tkachuk
P1
52.3%
55.0%
P2
45.4%
51.9%
P3
49.5%
47.3%
OT
62.5%
77.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 02:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |