Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 79.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 72.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Tkachuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
45.4% (183)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
53.2% (250)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
100.0% (2)
-62.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Home
46.7% (478)
51.1% (233)
Away
46.4% (470)
49.0% (202)
By Period
Cirelli
Tkachuk
P1
46.6%
42.9%
P2
48.6%
52.2%
P3
44.3%
53.7%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |