Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Cizikas 55.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 89.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 72.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 81.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Cirelli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cirelli
Cizikas
Last 5: Cirelli 1-4 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Cirelli
Cizikas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Cirelli
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
57.8% (767)
-11.4%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
66.7% (18)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
44.9% (176)
-7.4%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Cizikas
Home
46.7% (478)
56.6% (484)
Away
46.4% (470)
54.5% (477)
By Period
Cirelli
Cizikas
P1
46.6%
57.2%
P2
48.6%
54.7%
P3
44.3%
54.8%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |