Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Cizikas 54.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 51.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Cirelli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Cirelli
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
56.4% (576)
-6.5%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
50.0% (2)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
33.3% (33)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Cizikas
Home
46.7% (649)
55.4% (303)
Away
53.5% (643)
54.9% (308)
By Period
Cirelli
Cizikas
P1
50.1%
53.0%
P2
51.1%
56.0%
P3
48.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |