Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Cizikas 52.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 81.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 60.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Cirelli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Cizikas
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Cizikas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Cirelli
Cizikas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
53.7% (525)
-2.8%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
100.0% (1)
-56.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
51.7% (120)
-7.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Cizikas
Home
50.6% (494)
58.6% (307)
Away
47.6% (441)
48.7% (339)
By Period
Cirelli
Cizikas
P1
52.3%
56.7%
P2
45.4%
49.8%
P3
49.5%
53.8%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |