Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Strome 52.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 76.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 79.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Cirelli
Strome
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Cirelli
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
50.6% (684)
-4.2%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
58.9% (192)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
33.3% (3)
+4.2%
On even strength, Strome has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
46.7% (478)
51.3% (448)
Away
46.4% (470)
53.4% (431)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
46.6%
51.4%
P2
48.6%
54.6%
P3
44.3%
50.7%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |