Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Strome 52.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 85.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 57.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.6%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Cirelli
Strome
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Cirelli
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
1
Cirelli
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
50.6% (1,002)
+0.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
59.9% (299)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
57.9% (19)
-13.9%
On power play, Strome has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
50.6% (494)
51.9% (700)
Away
47.6% (441)
53.9% (620)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
52.3%
51.6%
P2
45.4%
53.0%
P3
49.5%
54.3%
OT
62.5%
44.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |