Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Strome 58.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 86.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Cirelli
Strome
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
6
Cirelli
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
0
Cirelli
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Cirelli
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
56.2% (856)
-5.8%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
66.4% (298)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
41.7% (12)
-5.2%
On even strength, Strome has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
54.2% (395)
55.7% (627)
Away
45.0% (509)
62.2% (539)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
50.8%
61.6%
P2
50.0%
54.5%
P3
46.6%
60.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |