Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Malkin 46.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 85.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 73.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Cirelli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cirelli
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Cirelli
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
45.7% (219)
+4.7%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
34.6% (26)
+35.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Malkin
Home
54.2% (395)
50.4% (113)
Away
45.0% (509)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Cirelli
Malkin
P1
50.8%
47.7%
P2
50.0%
44.9%
P3
46.6%
40.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |