Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Malkin 48.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 69.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Cirelli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Cirelli
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
47.9% (776)
+3.0%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
66.7% (24)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
100.0% (1)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Malkin
Home
50.6% (494)
49.6% (405)
Away
47.6% (441)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Cirelli
Malkin
P1
52.3%
49.6%
P2
45.4%
47.2%
P3
49.5%
48.5%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |