Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Malkin 46.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 66.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 89.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 77.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Cirelli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Cirelli
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
45.5% (602)
+4.4%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
50.0% (30)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
100.0% (1)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Malkin
Home
46.7% (649)
47.5% (326)
Away
53.5% (643)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Cirelli
Malkin
P1
50.1%
49.3%
P2
51.1%
44.7%
P3
48.5%
42.3%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |