Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Malkin 49.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 68.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Cirelli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cirelli
Malkin
Last 5: Cirelli 1-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Cirelli
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
49.0% (811)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
55.8% (43)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
50.0% (2)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Malkin
Home
52.4% (462)
52.3% (438)
Away
50.1% (369)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Cirelli
Malkin
P1
50.7%
51.3%
P2
49.6%
50.8%
P3
53.3%
45.0%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |