Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Nazar 45.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 53.9%
Defensive zone
Nazar 54.3%
Neutral zone
Nazar 57.1%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Cirelli
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Cirelli
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
45.2% (314)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
39.5% (38)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
44.8% (29)
+3.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nazar
Home
46.7% (649)
43.4% (196)
Away
53.5% (643)
45.9% (185)
By Period
Cirelli
Nazar
P1
50.1%
47.3%
P2
51.1%
40.3%
P3
48.5%
46.7%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |