Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Nazar 46.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 61.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 81.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 71.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Cirelli
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Cirelli
Nazar
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
2
Cirelli
Nazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
0
Cirelli
Nazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
46.9% (533)
+3.5%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
49.2% (132)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
25.6% (39)
+10.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nazar
Home
54.2% (395)
45.0% (329)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.2% (375)
By Period
Cirelli
Nazar
P1
50.8%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
43.1%
P3
46.6%
46.8%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | OT | 02:37 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |