Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 85.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 55.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 69.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Cirelli
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Cirelli
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
52.3% (560)
-0.2%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
57.5% (113)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
62.5% (16)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pavelski
Home
52.4% (462)
54.2% (360)
Away
50.1% (369)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Cirelli
Pavelski
P1
50.7%
54.5%
P2
49.6%
56.7%
P3
53.3%
50.8%
OT
61.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |