Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 34.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.5% vs Barzal 43.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 65.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 67.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 65.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Cirelli
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cirelli
Barzal
Last 5: Cirelli 1-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
3
Cirelli
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Cirelli
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (192)
42.3% (813)
+0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
47.4% (19)
+52.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
100.0% (2)
-42.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Cirelli is 34.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Cirelli shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Barzal
Home
48.9% (133)
44.3% (436)
Away
38.3% (81)
40.7% (398)
By Period
Cirelli
Barzal
P1
56.9%
39.7%
P2
38.2%
44.3%
P3
42.5%
44.2%
Final 5 min
56.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |