Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Barzal 46.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 82.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 72.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Cirelli
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
43.0% (114)
+7.9%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Barzal
Home
50.6% (494)
35.8% (53)
Away
47.6% (441)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Cirelli
Barzal
P1
52.3%
44.2%
P2
45.4%
38.5%
P3
49.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |