Anthony Cirelli vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Barzal 42.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 79.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 73.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Cirelli
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Cirelli
Barzal
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
8
Cirelli
Barzal
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
4
Cirelli
Barzal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
5
Cirelli
Barzal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
41.9% (3,565)
+7.9%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
43.4% (205)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
42.3% (26)
+1.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Barzal
Home
49.6% (3,763)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Cirelli
Barzal
P1
49.9%
40.7%
P2
48.8%
44.4%
P3
49.2%
41.0%
OT
51.6%
27.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |