Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Barzal 46.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 60.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 56.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cirelli
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Cirelli
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Cirelli
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Cirelli
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Cirelli
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
46.6% (483)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
40.9% (22)
+16.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Barzal
Home
46.7% (478)
49.6% (242)
Away
46.4% (470)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Cirelli
Barzal
P1
46.6%
42.4%
P2
48.6%
49.5%
P3
44.3%
47.7%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |