Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Barzal 42.8% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 69.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 92.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 89.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Cirelli
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Barzal
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
41.9% (516)
+10.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
40.0% (60)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
25.0% (4)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Cirelli is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Cirelli shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Barzal
Home
54.5% (466)
46.9% (303)
Away
51.1% (485)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Cirelli
Barzal
P1
48.6%
39.9%
P2
54.8%
45.1%
P3
55.8%
39.9%
OT
41.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |