Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Cirelli
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
45.9% (665)
+4.5%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
46.8% (111)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
50.0% (24)
-13.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Home
54.2% (395)
44.7% (409)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Cirelli
Schmaltz
P1
50.8%
40.3%
P2
50.0%
47.6%
P3
46.6%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |