Anthony Cirelli vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 69.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
5
Cirelli
Schmaltz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
2
Cirelli
Schmaltz
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
41.2% (3,399)
+8.6%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
47.1% (649)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
47.8% (134)
-4.0%
On power play, Cirelli has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Home
49.6% (3,763)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Cirelli
Schmaltz
P1
49.9%
41.1%
P2
48.8%
42.9%
P3
49.2%
43.0%
OT
51.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 15, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |