Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 66.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 69.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Cirelli
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Cirelli
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
38.5% (309)
+12.4%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
53.2% (79)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
25.0% (12)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Home
50.6% (494)
38.0% (184)
Away
47.6% (441)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Cirelli
Schmaltz
P1
52.3%
40.3%
P2
45.4%
39.9%
P3
49.5%
40.7%
OT
62.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |