Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 72.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Cirelli
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Cirelli
Suzuki
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
3
Cirelli
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
5
Cirelli
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
4
Cirelli
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
51.3% (1,096)
-0.4%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
59.9% (157)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
56.9% (58)
-12.9%
On power play, Suzuki has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Suzuki
Home
50.6% (494)
54.2% (638)
Away
47.6% (441)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Cirelli
Suzuki
P1
52.3%
51.5%
P2
45.4%
53.3%
P3
49.5%
52.4%
OT
62.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |