Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 68.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Cirelli
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Cirelli
Suzuki
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
7
Cirelli
Suzuki
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cirelli
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
5
Cirelli
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
52.4% (981)
-2.5%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
50.7% (304)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
36.4% (33)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Suzuki
Home
46.7% (649)
53.2% (645)
Away
53.5% (643)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Cirelli
Suzuki
P1
50.1%
48.9%
P2
51.1%
51.5%
P3
48.5%
54.9%
OT
64.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |