Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 62-49 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 60.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 70.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 56.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Cirelli
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
62
(111 meetings)
49
62
Cirelli
Suzuki
Last 10: Cirelli 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
15
29
Cirelli
Suzuki
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
19
13
Cirelli
Suzuki
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
15
20
Cirelli
Suzuki
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
49.4% (6,327)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
50.7% (1,338)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
43.6% (456)
+0.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Suzuki
Home
49.6% (3,763)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Cirelli
Suzuki
P1
49.9%
48.8%
P2
48.8%
49.1%
P3
49.2%
50.2%
OT
51.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |