Anthony Cirelli vs Pavel Buchnevich
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 68.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 92.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 90.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Buchnevich
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
37.0% (211)
+12.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
50.0% (10)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
28.6% (7)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Home
46.7% (649)
35.6% (87)
Away
53.5% (643)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Cirelli
Buchnevich
P1
50.1%
36.3%
P2
51.1%
37.6%
P3
48.5%
38.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |