Anthony Cirelli vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 76.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Cirelli
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Buchnevich
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
33.7% (895)
+16.1%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
44.2% (52)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
24.3% (37)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Home
49.6% (3,763)
34.7% (490)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Cirelli
Buchnevich
P1
49.9%
34.4%
P2
48.8%
33.7%
P3
49.2%
33.4%
OT
51.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |