Anthony Cirelli vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 65.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 68.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 53.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Cirelli
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
37.7% (154)
+12.7%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
42.9% (14)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
30.0% (10)
+6.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Home
54.2% (395)
37.4% (91)
Away
45.0% (509)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Cirelli
Buchnevich
P1
50.8%
38.9%
P2
50.0%
31.5%
P3
46.6%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%