Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 76.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Cirelli
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
48.5% (778)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
63.4% (191)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
50.8% (65)
-4.3%
On power play, Aho has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Aho
Home
52.4% (462)
51.3% (530)
Away
50.1% (369)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Cirelli
Aho
P1
50.7%
50.0%
P2
49.6%
51.3%
P3
53.3%
52.1%
OT
61.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |