Anthony Cirelli vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 49-35 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 59.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Cirelli
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
35
(84 meetings)
49
35
Cirelli
Aho
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
24
15
Cirelli
Aho
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
10
7
Cirelli
Aho
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
15
13
Cirelli
Aho
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
50.1% (6,619)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
58.9% (1,310)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
46.3% (464)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Aho
Home
49.6% (3,763)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Cirelli
Aho
P1
49.9%
51.1%
P2
48.8%
52.0%
P3
49.2%
50.7%
OT
51.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |