Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs McDavid 53.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 91.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 78.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Lundell
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lundell
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
54.3% (1,002)
-8.5%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
44.8% (29)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
33.3% (15)
-1.1%
On power play, Lundell has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Lundell
McDavid
Home
46.3% (434)
53.6% (507)
Away
42.4% (314)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Lundell
McDavid
P1
46.6%
52.6%
P2
39.9%
54.1%
P3
47.1%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |