Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs McDavid 51.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 53.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 51.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Lundell
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundell
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
2
Lundell
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
51.5% (889)
-6.7%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
63.9% (36)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
51.2% (86)
+0.9%
On even strength, McDavid has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Lundell
McDavid
Home
45.5% (319)
50.7% (513)
Away
47.7% (260)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Lundell
McDavid
P1
50.8%
52.3%
P2
46.5%
51.6%
P3
41.7%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
46.5%
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |