Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs McDavid 51.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 64.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 74.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Lundell
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lundell
McDavid
Last 7: Lundell 5-2 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
McDavid
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
51.6% (803)
+2.7%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
50.0% (40)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
36.4% (22)
+14.6%
On power play, Lundell has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Lundell
McDavid
Home
57.3% (450)
51.8% (415)
Away
52.3% (428)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Lundell
McDavid
P1
54.3%
47.5%
P2
58.2%
51.6%
P3
52.0%
55.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |