Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Carter 56.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 89.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 87.1%
Neutral zone
Lundell 86.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Lundell
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lundell
Carter
Last 8: Lundell 1-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Lundell
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lundell
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
57.9% (885)
-12.1%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
61.7% (133)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
45.4% (119)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Lundell
Carter
Home
46.3% (434)
58.2% (543)
Away
42.4% (314)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Lundell
Carter
P1
46.6%
57.5%
P2
39.9%
57.1%
P3
47.1%
55.8%
OT
33.3%
68.2%
Final 5 min
41.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |