Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 67.3%
Defensive zone
Lundell 66.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 67.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Lundell
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Lundell
Carter
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
6
Lundell
Carter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
57.3% (1,554)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
46.3% (1,087)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Lundell
Carter
Home
50.7% (2,304)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Lundell
Carter
P1
52.0%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
49.0%
53.1%
OT
48.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |