Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Carter 60.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 53.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 75.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Lundell
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lundell
Carter
Last 6: Lundell 4-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
65.6% (262)
-11.3%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
68.3% (63)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
50.5% (99)
+0.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lundell is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Lundell shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Lundell
Carter
Home
57.3% (450)
64.3% (207)
Away
52.3% (428)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Lundell
Carter
P1
54.3%
65.3%
P2
58.2%
60.1%
P3
52.0%
63.8%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |