Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Backlund 50.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 55.1%
Neutral zone
Lundell 55.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Lundell
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Lundell
Backlund
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
3
Lundell
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Lundell
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
51.5% (983)
-5.7%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
49.4% (87)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
45.3% (159)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Lundell
Backlund
Home
46.3% (434)
51.6% (653)
Away
42.4% (314)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Lundell
Backlund
P1
46.6%
50.0%
P2
39.9%
49.8%
P3
47.1%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |